Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1879
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 1879 · BWI → BDL
departs 10:55 PM ET · arrives 12:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.13 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.