Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1895 LANDED 11:33 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 1895 · MDW → LGA

took off 9:04 AM CT · landed 11:33 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1895 · MDW → LGA

Odds over time