WN 1916 · LAS → DEN

took off 10:16 PM PT · landed 12:37 AM MT (scheduled 10:10 PM PT → 1:04 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1916 · LAS → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?