Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 194
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 194 · ATL → MDW
departs 2:05 PM ET · arrives 3:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.09 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.