WN 1956 · HNL → KOA

departs 9:45 AM HT · arrives 10:50 AM HT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to KOA?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ 9am departures from HNL are usually not late

↓ WN's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1956 · HNL → KOA

Odds over time

How late will it get to KOA?