WN 1957 · HNL → ITO

departs 8:55 AM HT · arrives 10:06 AM HT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ITO?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Arrivals into ITO at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ITO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1957 · HNL → ITO

Odds over time

How late will it get to ITO?