Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1994
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1994 · DAL → RNO
departs 3:45 PM CT · arrives 5:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at RNO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
RNO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.