WN 1996 · CUN → STL

departs 2:05 PM EST · arrives 5:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CUN

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

CUN (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1996 · CUN → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?