Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 202 · ATL → DEN
departs 1:10 PM ET · arrives 2:15 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.09 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.