WN 2030 · AUS → BNA

departs 4:42 PM CT · arrives 6:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts +46 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
17%
15–30 min late
56%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.11 in

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2030 · AUS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?