WN 2032 · LAS → HOU

took off 3:56 PM PT · expected to land 8:22 PM CT (scheduled 2:50 PM PT → 7:53 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

97% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

LIVE

On time or early
3%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
66%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at HOU that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2032 · LAS → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?