Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2040
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2040 · DEN → OMA
departs 7:05 PM MT · arrives 9:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 7,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.