WN 2046 · TPA → PVD

took off 10:21 AM ET · landed 12:48 PM ET (scheduled 10:01 AM ET → 1:01 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PVD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ TPA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.10 in

PVD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2046 · TPA → PVD

Odds over time

How late did it get to PVD?