WN 2051 · TPA → BDL

departs 10:15 AM ET · arrives 1:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

BDL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2051 · TPA → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?