Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2058 · BNA → AUS
departs 8:05 AM CT · arrives 10:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±3 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BNA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.13 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.