Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2071 · MCO → MSY
departs 6:50 PM ET · arrives 7:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±3 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.