Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2071 · MSY → BNA
departs 8:20 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MSY that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at BNA that day
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSY (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.38 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.