Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2093 · HRL → AUS
departs 6:30 AM CT · arrives 7:45 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
25%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave HRL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at HRL that day
↑
AUS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HRL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 2.15 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.