WN 2096 · HOU → OAK

departs 5:30 AM CT · arrives 7:38 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from HOU are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.40 in

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2096 · HOU → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?