WN 2149 · HOU → STL

departs 11:01 AM CT · arrives 1:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.40 in

STL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2149 · HOU → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?