WN 2151 · PHX → ICT

took off 11:26 AM MT · expected to land 3:14 PM CT (scheduled 11:20 AM MT → 3:45 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ICT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from PHX are often late

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ICT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2151 · PHX → ICT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ICT?