WN 2153 · HOU → VPS

departs 10:16 AM CT · arrives 12:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to VPS?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 4.1 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HOU that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

VPS (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling567 ft Visibility2 mi Precip4.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2153 · HOU → VPS

Odds over time

How late will it get to VPS?