WN 215 · HOU → CRP

departs 5:10 PM CT · arrives 6:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CRP?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at CRP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ 5pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

CRP (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 215 · HOU → CRP

Odds over time

How late will it get to CRP?