WN 2190 · LAX → BNA

took off 2:27 PM PT · expected to land 7:49 PM CT (scheduled 1:45 PM PT → 7:48 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2190 · LAX → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?