WN 2208 · JAX → AUS

departs 10:55 AM ET · arrives 12:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

96% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from JAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

JAX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.45 in

AUS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2208 · JAX → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?