Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2220
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2220 · LAS → DAL
departs 5:55 PM PT · arrives 10:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.