Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2258 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 2258 · MKE → AUS

departs 10:27 AM CT · arrives 12:45 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2258 · MKE → AUS

Odds over time