WN 2290 · BWI → FLL

departs 7:52 PM ET · arrives 10:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at BWI that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.17 in

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2290 · BWI → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?