Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2314
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2314 · MEM → DAL
departs 4:20 PM CT · arrives 5:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MEM (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.09 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.