WN 2327 · SAN → GEG

departs 4:25 PM PT · arrives 7:08 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +37 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GEG?

On time or early
25%
15–30 min late
54%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2327 · SAN → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?