WN 2339 · LAS → MEM

departs 12:46 PM PT · arrives 6:09 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±2 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ MEM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2339 · LAS → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?