WN 2383 · STL → MKE

departs 10:00 PM CT · arrives 11:24 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MKE?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from STL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2383 · STL → MKE

Odds over time

How late will it get to MKE?