WN 239 · DEN → RIC

departs 1:36 PM MT · arrives 6:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at RIC that day

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ RIC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.94 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 239 · DEN → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?