WN 2405 · BHM → HOU

departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 9:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BHM that day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BHM (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.53 in

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2405 · BHM → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?