Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2425 · OMA → DEN
departs 7:15 PM CT · arrives 8:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
Weather at each end
OMA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 7,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.