Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2428 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow

WN 2428 · PIT → HOU

departs 12:10 PM ET · arrives 2:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2428 · PIT → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?