WN 2442 · MSY → DAL

departs 5:25 PM CT · arrives 7:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from MSY are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.83 in

DAL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2442 · MSY → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?