WN 244 · HOU → SLC

departs 5:56 PM CT · arrives 8:09 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ 5pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.12 in

SLC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 244 · HOU → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?