Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2472 · BWI → PDX
departs 11:50 AM ET · arrives 2:20 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
11am departures from BWI are usually not late
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.38 in
PDX (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.