Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2490
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 2490 · LGB → OAK
departs 7:55 PM PT · arrives 9:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.