Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2495
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 2495 · IND → HOU
departs 8:25 PM ET · arrives 9:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.