WN 2535 · LGA → DEN

departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:06 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at LGA that day

↑ 8pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.18 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2535 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?