Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2543
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2543 · SAT → LAS
departs 5:55 AM CT · arrives 6:35 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
3%
Arrive 1h+ late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
5.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from SAT are usually not late
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.