Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 2544 · HOU → TUL
departs 10:40 PM CT · arrives 12:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.1d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.19 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.