WN 2546 · LGA → MDW

departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 10:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
15%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 9pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.15 in

MDW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2546 · LGA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?