WN 2551 · LGA → STL

departs 3:01 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.07 in

STL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2551 · LGA → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?