WN 2558 · BNA → CLE

departs 8:30 PM CT · arrives 11:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CLE (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2558 · BNA → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?