Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2565
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2565 · DEN → BHM
departs 7:55 PM MT · arrives 11:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at BHM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BHM?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.5 in of rain forecast at BHM that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BHM usually runs smoothly
↓
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BHM (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.