Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2573
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2573 · AUS → DEN
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 8:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.