WN 2590 · LIH → HNL

departs 7:05 PM HT · arrives 8:01 PM HT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late

↓ LIH usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

HNL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2590 · LIH → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?